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CSSI Analysis: Red Wings 2 - Flames 1

Tight game, this one.  Both goaltenders played very well, with Miikka Kiprusoff handling the significantly more intense load, stopping 31 of 33 Red Wings shots.  Jimmy Howard denied 16 of 17 Calgary shot attempts as the Detroit defense cut their per-game shots average in half. 

Detroit finally had their streak for consecutive games with a power play goal snapped at eight, as the Calgary PK killed off all 7 Detroit power play opportunities.  That number doesn't really tell the whole story though as a penalty-marred first period had plenty of weak calls going both ways.  The Wings only had 8:58 of total power play time.  The penalty kill gave up one on a 4-on-3 chance for the Flames, but held them to 1 for 7 in the Flames' 9:14 of total power play time. 

Let's get to the analysis

CSSI Tracking Chart here
CSSI Methodology Explanation here

Goalie Ratings

Jimmy Howard had an outstanding game.  He was only tested for 17 shots thanks largely to the defense in front of him and Brent Sutter's line-matching decisions, but don't let the low number of shots fool you; Calgary had a lot of very good scoring chances and Howard had to make some huge saves, including one on a power play opportunity for the Flames that almost has me convinced to award him a big save and a half for how good it was.  I counted four big saves on the night where Howard bailed out his defense.  The one goal he gave up was a slapshot from the faceoff circle and was in no way weak.  His rating is +4.

Scoring and bonus plus/minus after the jump

Star-divide

The Goals

1st Period 15:58 - Calgary Goal (PP): Mark Giordano (slap shot) from Jarome Iginla and Alex Tanguay
This is a 4-on-3 power play goal, as half of the game's 16 penalties called (counting double minors as double) came in the first period, and half of those penalties came into play leading up to this goal.  Craig Conroy was serving a double minor for high-sticking Dan Cleary; on the ensuing PP, Johan Franzen takes a bad boarding penalty.  While 4-on-4, Lidstrom is called for a hook matched in weakness only by the Curtis Glencross hooking call just over 2 minutes later.  While set up on the power play, Tanguay feeds Giordano point-to-point about ten feet inside the blue line with the Wings PK triangle of Datsyuk, Stuart, and Kronwall working to keep them to the outside.  Giordano passes low to Iginla at the side, who feeds it back to Giordano who settles the puck just long enough to fire a laser past Howard.  The only scoring adjustment I'm making here is to give Franzen a minus for taking a boarding call in the offensive zone with the Wings on the power play to start this whole series of events in motion.  The Lidstrom penalty was ridiculous.

2nd Period 1:54 - Detroit Goal: Mike Modano (snap shot) from Dan Cleary and Brad Stuart
Modano wins a defensive zone faceoff behind his own net to Stuart, who rings it around the boards to Cleary at center ice.  Despite two flames covering Cleary, he's able to find Modano streaking full-speed through the neutral zone to create an odd-man rush.  Abdelkader joins him as a decoy as Modano waits just long enough on Kiprusoff before unleasing a wrister that beats Calgary's goalie over the left shoulder.  Modano's faceoff win and hustle are enough to earn him an extra half-plus on the play.  Cleary also gets a half-plus for his vision in finding and kicking the puck to Modano.  These are both inherently defensive plays that led to offense the other way.

2nd Period 12:05 - Detroit Goal: Justin Abdelkader (wrist shot) from Pavel Datsyuk and Nicklas Lidstrom
Lidstrom receives the puck at his own blue line and waits long enough to draw two Calgary forecheckers to him.  When Lidstrom notices that Calgary has made a bad change and only has two guys back, he feeds Datsyuk with a two-line outlet pass going the other way.  With Holmstrom on the far end keeping Robyn Regehr wide, Datsyuk and Abdelkader gang up on Jay Bouwmeester, creating a 2-on-1.  Abdelkader skates hard to the net and gets behind the Calgary D where Datsyuk finds him.  Before Kiprusoff can adjust, Abby releases a wrister that beats him above his pad and next to his glove-side hip.  The vision displayed here by Lidstrom is nothing new for the future first-ballot Hall of Famer, but it's fantastic work when compared to what's expected of average.  Lidstrom gets a half-plus.

Bonus Ratings

+1 to Mike Modano, Dan Cleary, and Justin Abdelkader:  These guys dominated every shift and played exactly the kind of game they needed to on the road.  Together, they made Mike Babcock's decision about what to do for the game on Friday a collectively tougher one.
-0.5 to Jakub Kindl: The kid only got 7:19 of ice time and managed to blow a shot at a wide-open net and also turn the puck over to Calgary in his own zone leading to a scoring chance.  There's hardly much question right now as to who will sit when Brian Rafalski returns, possibly as soon as Monday. 
+1 to Pavel Datsyuk:  Pavel stepped around Mark Giordano in the first period and forced him to take a holding penalty.  This is the quintessential play to which I'm going to refer as far as which penalties are earned by players versus which ones are given by the opposition for lazy, stupid, or weak plays.  Datsyuk forced the Calgary defenseman to hold him or else face the wrath of his coach wondering why he hates his own goalie.
+0.5 to Darren Helm: The best penalty-killing forward the Wings had tonight in terms of both time played on the PK and overall effectiveness. 
+0.5 to Brad Stuart: What Helm did on the front of the penalty kill, Stuart did on the back end, leading all PKers in shorthanded ice time and doing the most work of anybody not named Jimmy Howard on a crucial four-minute kill in the third period.

Of note, but not deserving scoring adjustments, I was pleased with Jonathan Ericsson's play tonight.  He had almost 18 minutes of ice time and was hardly noticeable, save for a weak hooking penalty in the first that was pretty well sold by Olli Jokinen.  Just like I have to try to make sure I do credit Listrom for doing things that only he makes look easy, I'm trying not to credit Ericsson for simply not sucking.  Still, his play tonight is worth a mention at least.

Next Red Wings game is Friday in Edmonton before going to Vancouver on Saturday.  As a quick CSSI news tidbit, I'm going to be out and about watching the Friday game in the Kansas City area with some fellow Wings fans.  I expect I'll be out late and, by the end of the night, in no position to objectively look at anything.  Right now the plan is to have both Friday and Saturday's games' CSSI posts go up during the day on Sunday.  If I can get the Edmonton CSSI up with enough time to spare before Saturday night's game, I will.

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Jimmy played excellent last night, deserving of the +4. As for Kindl, I’m still not sold that he’ll be the one sitting. I think initially, yes. But I think they might opt for a rotation more than anything. Stuart definitely earned the +.5 with one play alone. There was a loose puck in the crease with Calgary players jamming away at it and Stuart came across to knock the closest guy away from the crease, good heads up play.

Ok, fine, I’ll be in the corner if anybody needs me.

for some reason made me think of a Futurama scene:

Fry: letting my waste drop wherever it falls, like an animal in a zoo!
Leela: Animals go in the corner.
Fry: The corner! Why didn’t I think of that?
No body with me? fine.

by Casey Richey on Nov 4, 2010 9:01 AM CDT reply actions  

You’ve got mail!
meh
It’s not spam!

This was one of the harder CSSI posts to write because I basically wanted to give the entire team extra pluses. I don’t think Kindl will sit for too long, just waiting for Ericsson to screw up (and oh, will he ever screw up), but when Raffi’s back and Mike’s gotta put the lesser-performing guy on the bench, Kindl’s “it” right now.

by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 4, 2010 9:31 AM CDT up reply actions  

coincidence?

I watched that episoide last night before the game.

Fry: Four identical castles!
Bender: Each more identical than the last!

by Red, White and a Mile high on Nov 4, 2010 10:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

Professor: How was everyone's trip to fantasy planet?

Zoidberg: For one glorious night I new what it was to be a grandmother. Subjugated, yet honored.

by Kjell on Nov 4, 2010 10:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Nice

I am sure we all can petition the NHL to adopt the CSSI sometime down the road. They definitely do lack a lot of ‘commonsense’

Purveyor of ' Flibbertigibbets, Thingamajigs, Gibberish, and tomfoolerism'
In my case : The cream always sinks to the bottom!!!!!

by bharatwaj5 on Nov 4, 2010 10:36 AM CDT reply actions  

I can see them giving the Wings minuses because someone scored on the Blackhawks.

You are supposed to look out for your little sister after all.

Dancing Datsyuk Decidedly Dazzles Dainty Defensemen

by Robocop on Nov 4, 2010 10:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

I think it would be cool, just to see, but...

I’m ten games in and have to triple-guess myself on just about every rating to try to make sure I’m not favoring certain Red Wings over one another because of my personal feelings. I would worry that there would be a big homer bias for just about every rater knowing that now a team’s CSSI is being compared league-wide. If I know that the Calgary CSSI rater gave Olli Jokinen a bonus plus last night, even though it would have been totally unearned, then while I’d like to think that I wouldn’t let that affect my future ratings of Wings players, I can also admit that it probably would under some kind of a “well I know Johan Franzen is a better player than Olli Jokinen, so I have to adjust the stats to prove it”. Even if it weren’t a conscious effort on my part to do that, it would put the cart before the horse as far as the ratings go.

by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 4, 2010 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

The wings played great. Maybe there best performance all year. Even though the score was close the performance wasn’t. The wings simply outplayed the flames. It looked at times as if the flames were playing at a slower pace…which they were. If it wasn’t for Kipper the score could easily have been 4-1. The third line was terrific and Cleary was all over the place. I don’t see how Babcock can put Hudler back on the line. Abdelkader played pretty good in his first game back and he was even better in this game. I think Abdelkater has to play against Edmonton because he makes that line so much better. Now if they can just have the same energy against Edmonton. Go wings.

by howefan on Nov 4, 2010 7:22 PM CDT reply actions  

Go Wings keep winning

esp because our damn division never losses wtf….Blues and Jackets both with shutouts tonight….7-2-1 record in 3rd place lol…because of amount of games pretty much

LETS GO RED WINGS!

2011 will be the year....better be....

Troy Tulowitzki: "When people think of the Rockies, I want them to think of a winning organization."

by TuLoRocks2008 on Nov 4, 2010 9:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Good work on the CSSI

Hello from a wings fan in California.

First off, thanks for the awesome CSSI updates, greatly appreciate the writeups and the score adjustments.

Are you sure the Modano goal was a snap over the shoulder? Looked like a wrister under the glove-hand similar to Abby’s but i could be wrong.

Go Wings!

by FlyinAlex on Nov 5, 2010 2:42 AM CDT reply actions  

I don’t recall if Modano’s was a wrister or a snap shot, but it went top corner so it had to be over the shoulder.

by Brion on Nov 5, 2010 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

It went top-shelf. On the snap-shot, wrister thing, I tend to agree that it was a wrist shot, but I copy the type of shot directly off NHL.com’s recaps. Personally, I think they should have another category called “garbage sweep” or something else so that all those Holmstrom goals that aren’t deflected in, but are jammed in on the rebound can get their own category.

by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 5, 2010 8:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

Modano’s shot did go under the goalies glove. It’s looks like it went over the shoulder, but if you slow the replay down frame-by-frame it actually does catch the bottom wrist of Kipper’s glove hand.

by howefan on Nov 6, 2010 2:01 AM CDT reply actions  

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