CSSI Analysis: Red Wings 3 - Coyotes 2 (OT)
Another Coyotes game, another hard-fought battle. They're almost good enough to become something of a burgeoning rival. Whatever it is, the 'Yotes play the Red Wings tight. This time Detroit was able to overcome their defensive miscues after giving up a lead and come back for an OT game winner off Henrik Zetterberg's stick.
The Wings outshot the Coyotes 41-30 in what was something of a wide-open game where both teams saw ample scoring opportunities. Neither power play was able to register a goal on the game's seven total opportunities (4-Det, 3-Phx). Even better, tonight marked the return of right-shooting defenseman and exemplary puck-mover Brian Rafalski to the lineup. Raffi only played 15:18 of ice time, but popped back onto the scene with an assist on Dan Cleary's goal 1:40 into the game.
CSSI Tracking Chart here
CSSI Methodology Explanation here
Goalie Ratings
Howard stopped 29 of 31 and I don't think either goal was weak. His team let the Coyotes get off more shots than I was comfortable with and came up big three times. Aside from that, his rebound-or-hold-onto-the-puck decision making was outsanding with Phoenix players buzzing the net (twice, buzzing too close as Phoenix's Lee Stempniak took two penalties for goaltender interference). His rating on the night was +3.
Scoring and plus/minus analysis after the jump.
The Goals1st Period 1:40 - Detroit Goal: Dan Cleary (slap shot) from Brian Rafalski and Mike Modano
This play starts with a simple clear out of the Detroit end through center ice. Justin Abdelkader forechecks well and makes Oliver Ekman-Larsson retrieve under pressure. The Phoenix defender tries to throw around behind the net to his defense partner, but the puck takes an angle off the back boards to the backside of the net where Mike Modano collects it and skates around the boards. He finds Rafalski coming on and sets him up for a one-timer that may or may not have been intentionally wide. The puck rings off the end boards and right out front to Dan Cleary on the back door, who slaps it home. Justin Abdelkader will earn a half-assist on this play for forcing the play so well.
1st Period 19:05 - Phoenix Goal: Martin Hanzal (wrist shot) from Derek Morris
Another last-minute goal for the opposition here. Datsyuk loses a faceoff clean to Hanzal, who gets it to Derek Morris. Hanzal immediately goes to the front of the net and Morris takes a quick look before directing a slapshot unquestionably intentionally wide that comes off the boards behind Jimmy Howard and onto Hanzal's stick for the tap-in. There are a couple of failures on this play by Pavel Datsyuk which will earn him an extra minus. He loses the faceoff cleanly and then loses body position on Hanzal, neither successfully tying him or his stick up. The rest of his teammates are doing their jobs when this goal is scored. Lidstrom, Cleary, Stuart, and Zetterberg will not receive minuses.
2nd Period 7:31 - Phoenix Goal: Keith Yandle (slap shot) from Lauri Korpikoski
Play starts in the Phoenix zone, where the Wings are putting on decent pressure. Stuart carries the puck low on a pinch where he passes to Zetterberg, who loses the puck to Korpikoski. Lauri carries the puck up ice and tries to get a shot off that's knocked off his stick by Datsyuk playing defense. Unfortunately, the puck rolls across the center of the ice and right to Yandle's stick as he joins the play. Yandle gets it short side by Howard before he can move into position to stop the puck. This doesn't look like an odd-man rush, but it is. Datsyuk and Rafalski will not receive minuses on this play. They were the two players in position and both did their jobs very well. Datsyuk even stopped a much better scoring chance, but had bad enough puck-luck on the play for the biscuit to have landed directly on a Phoenix player's stick. Zetterberg and Stuart don't get back quickly enough to pick up Yandle coming in late and Holmstrom stops skating in the neutral zone. Each of those three will keep their minuses.
3rd Period 7:24 - Detroit Goal: Nicklas Lidstrom (slap shot) from Brad Stuart and Pavel Datsyuk
Again, Abdelkader's aggressive forechecking makes the Phoenix defense get rid of the puck quickly by throwing it around the boards. Datsyuk intercepts at the half-boards and muscles off two defenders long enough to get the puck to Brad Stuart. Stuart moves it over to Lidstrom, who lines up a slap shot from the blue line and forces it by Bryzgalov. Abdelkader and Datsyuk will each earn half-pluses for making this play happen. I toyed with giving Franzen bonus points here, but the replay shows he was not screening Bryzgalov on the play.
Overtime 1:23 - Detroit Goal: Henrik Zetterberg (tip in) from Ruslan Salei and Todd Bertuzzi
The Wings get control of the puck in the Phoenix zone on the four-on-four; after a decent scoring chance, Zetterberg picks up the puck in the corner and carries around behind the net where his hustle forces Oliver Ekman-Larsson to hold him for a delayed penalty. Zetterberg recognizes this and moves back around behind Bryzgalov to the other side where he finds Todd Bertuzzi streaking off the Wings' bench for the extra skater. Bertuzzi immediately snaps a pass to Ruslan Salei on the far side. Salei walks in closer and waits long enough for Zetterberg to again beat Ekman-Larsson to the front of the net. Salei releases a low slap-pass directly to Hank's stick and he redirects through Bryzgalov for the OT game-winner. Zetterberg gets a full bonus-plus for taking his defender to school on this play two times. Salei earns a half-plus for the patience he shows in waiting for the play to develop. If he shoots immediately from there, he likely wastes the opportunity.
Bonus Ratings
+1 to Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg: Both started the game off slowly, at one point making me wonder if the two consecutive games on the receiving end of big hits had taken its toll on Datsyuk. Fortunately, these guys took the game over in the later stages and helped Detroit earn this victory
+1 to Dan Cleary: 5 shots on goal, the game-opening tally, and 18:40 of total ice time for third-highest behind only Datsyuk and Zetterberg for TOI among forwards. Cleary was a force on the ice all night. He's been red-hot the last few games and that continued throughout this one.
-0.5 to Tomas Holmstrom: Cleary got his extra ice time because Holmstrom squandered his. He ended the game in Uncle Mike's doghouse and with just over twelve minutes played. He was not particularly good in any zone or in front of the net.
-1 to Niklas Kronwall: Just seven seconds into a Detroit power play in the second period, Kronwall fails to keep the puck in and, when Vernon Fiddler threatens to step around him with speed, Kronner sticks his hip out to interfere. Fiddler tries to sell it as a much worse type of hit than it was, but it's undeniable that it's a stupid offensive zone penalty to take.
Honorable Mentions: I think the play of Filppula and Ericsson were once again good. The former was moving with more speed than he had in a few games and the latter was just solid on the blueline again, actually using his size a few times to deliver hits. Also, I thought this was Hudler's best game since returning from his benching. His hustle was great, now he just needs to put up points. I don't think any of these players had good enough showings to earn them bonus ratings, but they do deserve some recognition at least.
Next game is Thursday against the Oilers. Hopefully a better-rested Wings team can show up for the first period here.
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Datsyuk
I’m worried about him, I think he got his bell rung hard on the Canada trip with those big hits. He seems to be playing a bit sloppy lately, and just generally less Datsyuk-ian.
As far as the game goes, Phoenix always plays a fast game with the Wings. It really seemed to take until the last period until we settled down. I wondered if part of that was having Rafalski back. It almost seemed like some of the team were surprised by his stretch passes.
Lastly, Cleary and Abdelkader – They play with such intensity it’s amazing what they make happen. Filppula was also on fire last night. I say put those 3 together as your 2nd line. Although I can imagine Bert and Abby playing pretty well together. For the heck of it (you know, because we haven’t been playing dominant enough yet) here are my new Wing lines:
Dats – Z – Cleary
Abby – Fil – Bert
Franzen – Modano – Homer
Eaves – Helm – Huds
I dunno how to get Hudler going… To some degree I wonder if playing with Fil might be more his style, but those are my new lines for now (you know, for when Babcock asks for my advice).
Notes
I just rewatched the replayed of last night, there is no player for either team who is featured more than Pavel Datsyuk, obviously he was in on both goals against, but there are so many plays in the offensive zone that start with Datsyuk either pressuring or controling the puck allowing his line mates to get good position.
Abdelkader deserves a lot of credit, he got the 3rd line going by adding some zest and he adds a lot of skill to that 4th line. I noticed in early games this season the 4th line almost always chipped the puck in deep, then just jammed it against the boards and tried to hold the other team could gain control and chip it out then both teams would switch players and that was that. With Abdelkader in there, Helm and Eaves are trying to move the puck off the boards and get pucks on net.
The Datsyuk thing is pretty much why he either gets bonus pluses or minuses every game (and the Vancouver game was the only one he got a bonus minus so far. They always say your best guys gotta be your best guys. Well, Datsyuk (and Zetterberg too, who’s also somewhat more quietly been very active on the bonus ratings) has lived up to that.
Abdelkader is definitely earning his time. He’s moved way up on the depth chart.
by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 9, 2010 8:53 AM CST up reply actions
I love the Gator's game
I (and plenty of others) have been critical in years past of the Wings not having someone to inject energy and physicality when it’s needed. Abby does that and he’s been excellent at it so far. Hopefully this is just the tip of the iceberg and we have something very good growing here.
He reminds me of what Dallas Drake brought to the club in 07-08.
by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 9, 2010 9:25 AM CST up reply actions
Without having to include AARP dues in the contract.
Dancing Datsyuk Decidedly Dazzles Dainty Defensemen
by Robocop on Nov 9, 2010 11:29 AM CST up reply actions 1 recs
I watched him play when the MSU Spartans were on – I knew fans would love him. He’s spunky.
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
Franzen
What has happened to him? He has disappeared for the most part the last few games, and it’s a little troubling. I’m wondering whether he is fighting a nagging injury, because if he is he needs to sit down and rest it. If he’s not hurt, then I’m even more worried because he’s just kind of “there” for most of the game. He’s not skating with any sort of speed, not generating any scoring chances, and not using his body. At this rate I don’t think he’ll hit 25 goals, let alone 40 like we all thought.
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I think he's hurting
He’s shying away from body contact more. I think some rest would do him well.
by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 9, 2010 9:31 AM CST up reply actions
I think
That “fighting a nagging injury” might be status quo for Franzen for most of his career. He just plays like that and gets hurt a lot.
Random Ramblings from a Somewhat Scattered Mind
"It is a mistake to try to look too far ahead. The chain of destiny can only be grasped one link at a time." --Sir Winston Churchill (1874 – 1965)
time to scratch homer or franzen
give hudler a chance in the top 6.
EEEK
Each of these guys adds protection to their line mates. I know their play has been lacking somewhat but Hudler certainly doesn’t help develop any physicality to the line.
by InJimWeTrust on Nov 9, 2010 10:33 AM CST up reply actions
I cant see
him being injured.. this early in the season its hard for me believe that they would even take the chance. Right now if any player was questionable at all I think they would be sitting. esp with the extra man like huds or miller hanging around…
The last 2 seasons he’s missed major time with major injury. Is it that hard to believe that he’s got some nagging issue that he’s trying to play through rather than sit for a week/10 days and get it healthy?
Dancing Datsyuk Decidedly Dazzles Dainty Defensemen
Not to mention
We thought he had a minor/mild concussion after the forearm shiver to the face a few games back.
Never said it wasnt
possible… ofcourse thats possible. I just think that, just cause he hasnt had a goal in 3 or 4 games the first thing on my mind isnt an injury… maybe just a drought. thats all.. I should have phrased it better I guess.
But his play is not there
It’s one thing to be getting good chances and the puck just doesn’t go in; Franzen’s not doing much in the way of generating offense beyond shots from the perimeter and low percentage plays. I’m not seeing him go to the front of the net or the other dirty areas to get goals.
We’ve got 13 healthy forwards for 12 spots. If someone is dealing with a nagging injury, taking a day off is better now than later on when we need that person to be in the lineup because it’s a case of them or a call up.
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I agree his play is not there
thats why i think if he was injured he would be sitting, due to the fact that we have 13 guys for 12 spots. I think he is in a drought… idk though
Agitation is not enough
He’s been taking some dumb penalties at really inopportune times, he’s got no speed and he’s not scoring or even generating much in the way of scoring chances. You look at what Cleary brought to that line and it’s not a stretch to say that Cleary makes that line even better (if that’s possible).
Besides, the best way to agitate the other team is to have constant possession of the puck and score goals on them.
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Exactly
The Wings have drawn quite a few penalties so far with their 5-on-5 powerplay.
They keep possession, pick off clearing attempts, and eventually the puck is either in the net, or one of the opponents is taking a penalty because they’re damn tired.
And it’s not like Homer draws many penalties for the abuse he takes in front. I don’t expect him to get a free pass to stand in front, but he takes some borderline intent to injure shots in there, and the refs look the other way.
Taking an occasional night off, especially when we’re this healthy, is good for him to let those bruises heal.
Dancing Datsyuk Decidedly Dazzles Dainty Defensemen
Kronner
Other than the horrible penalty you mentioned, he was pretty damned good last night. He was phenomenal at holding in the puck at the offensive blue line, even on some really tough passes/clearing attempts. Every time he was on the ice i noticed him in all 3 zones
by Red, White and a Mile high on Nov 9, 2010 1:28 PM CST reply actions
He was definitely more effective than he had been. He’s starting to return to form and getting ready to pull some actual pluses. Last night (for the most part) was a step in the right direction, but he’s not there yet.
by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 9, 2010 1:44 PM CST up reply actions
Question about goalie +/-
I know we’re already quite a bit into the season and it would be a pain to go back now, but wouldn’t it be more appropriate to illustrate big saves and bad goals as more of a big save/bad goal ratio than a straight plus/minus?
Just a thought that occurred to me. To take it one step further, one could take a performance and weight the number of big saves against the average amount of shots faced by a goaltender throughout the NHL.
From what I’ve noticed so far, a very good game by a goalie is a +4 rating while an even or lower is the mark of a very bad game. Looking at Howard’s stats and dividing his plus/minus total by his games played shows that Howard is having a good season.
by J.J. from Kansas on Nov 9, 2010 7:53 PM CST up reply actions

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