Rafalski leading USA, Babcock's men struggling
In the border war game last night between the United States and Canada, one Red Wing stepped into the spotlight while the other had his seat get a little bit hotter.
By now, you all know the outcome of the game. The United States downed Canada 5-3, the first win over Canada since 1960. The game was close to a monumental win for the Americans and even though they were drastically outshot, Ryan Miller was strong in net and the offense made the most of the chances it got. Efficiency goes a long way as the underdog. The Americans are the underdog no more as they head into bracket play as the top overall seed, a huge advantage in their pursuit of the gold in Vancouver.
A side story, but still one that is pretty big in the minds of Red Wings fans, is how well Brian Rafalski has played in these Olympics. Rafalski netted two of the 5 goals yesterday and had an assist on another goal that hit off of Jamie Langenbreuner in front of Canada goalie (and former New Jersey teammate) Martin Brodeur. Rafalski has become a secondary source of offense for the Americans during the Olympics and the production comes somewhat unexpectedly.
Rafalski has scored 4 goals and added an assist in the three games the US has played. By comparison, he has 4 goals this year in 57 games for the Red Wings this year. Granted, two of the goals scored by Rafalski were against Norway late in a game that was practically over. But then again, the other two (and almost 3) came against perhaps one of the most talent-rich Canadian teams to take the ice. No easy achievement there.
Perhaps this increase in scoring will help boost his playing level once the NHL season resumes on March 1. Or is this just a sign of Rafalski getting a bit lucky? Either way, the fact that he is tied for the lead in goals after group play is something that I'm willing to bet nobody had picked.
Babcock's seat heating up? Continued after the jump.
There were two things that stuck out to me during group play, and both of them are negatives for Mike Babcock.
The first thing I had noticed, was the inability of the Canadian players to adapt to the defensive style that Babcock was trying to implement. Call this Mike's fault if you so wish, but there's also some other factors at play here. Every single player on this team is coming into the Olympics with a different defensive mindset based on his NHL squad's scheme. Bringing them all in with very little time to practice and things will break down a bit. Maybe in the next round, as they have more cohesiveness as a unit, they'll be able to resolve some of these issues.
The second thing that stuck out to me is the goaltending issues. Babcock had a tough decision to make there and the fan favorite ended up not paying off. I'll agree, it is hard to look at Martin Brodeur's career numbers and overlook him, especially in a spot like this and considering he was in net for the 2002 gold medal. Another thing to add in is the pressure from the Canadian fans as to how not to start Brodeur with his Hall of Fame status. But the thought that crossed my mind is how Brodeur, as of late, has really benefited from a system. He has undeniable skills, I'll give him that, but there's also a bit of unfamiliarity with the team in front of him. The Devils defensemen and forwards do the things that Marty expects them to do. Play a tight, smothering defensive game. This Canadian super team, however, seems to be focused more on going the other way and putting shots on the other net; leaving defense a far secondary thought.
Starting Robert Luongo is the solution. That's what Babcock has gone to, in fact, for the Germany game. Luongo with his athletic ability alone can handle the lack of defensive focus and win games practically by himself.
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I’m loving Rafalski bringing his A game to the Olympics. I don’t think it was luck- he’s working hard and making sure he’s useful on the team as the oldest member. Hopefully he’ll be charged up and ready to go after the break. As far as Brodeur/Luongo, I can almost see Luongo getting the starts from here on out as long as he’s winning. The Canadian people may fuss, but they’re going to be a lot more unhappy if their team loses the Gold Medal.
by crperreau on Feb 22, 2010 3:05 PM CST via mobile reply actions
So here's the question
Is Rafi’s output in the Olympics due to the different game being played by the US team vs. the Wings? Or, is it because the rest of the team is performing around him and he’s finally relaxed mentally?
Was this a sign that the system Babcock coaches is a flawed system? I hesitate to put much blame for things season’s performance on him with all of the injuries. But at the same time, watching Canada fall was eerily similar to many Wings games this year (which has already been pointed out).
It was nice to be on the other side for once :)
I think Babbles (Babcock)
also has a tendency to not change his gameplan once another team figures it out. Look at the Penguins over the past two Stanley Cups. They forced the Wings to the outside and Babcock didn’t adapt at all.
As for Rafalski, I think it may be a little bit of both. I think it does help that the rest of the guys around him are top-notch players and he is able to relax.
by Casey Richey on Feb 22, 2010 3:25 PM CST up reply actions
I think it also helps
The the guys around him are so full of energy and clearly having a blast – it’s like a veteran player being traded to a young contending team and feeling a lot more energetic just because the surroundings are so full of energetic youngsters.
He’s having a lot of fun and it’s reflected in being more relaxed.
Or Lidstrom is dragging him down, the anchor. :D
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The system has won one cup, and come within a game 7 loss of two more championships
Maybe Rafalski’s skills aren’t best utilized by Babcock’s system. I don’t know that you can look at his production in the Olympics and say Babcock’s system is flawed as explanation for his lack of production.
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Extra fun follow up question
If Canada loses… will that affect his ability to command respect from the Wings? Probably not from the leaders of the team, but what of the new guys who’ve been struggling all year?
I doubt it
I think by now he either has their respect or he doesn’t. The outcome of this tournament shouldn’t change that.
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by handsomerob1 on Feb 22, 2010 6:29 PM CST up reply actions
Robert Luongo
I don’t understand how he hasn’t started in the first three games. The guy is amazing, and while Brodeur is great, I don’t think anyone would argue that Brodeur is better than Luongo.
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Hmmmm.......
I thought it was just NBC screwing up again when they showed Rafalski had scored two goals again. That really happened, huh?
the bastard
He’s been holding out on us – hiding his scoring machine talents from Wings fans. :)
"While there's life, there's hope." --Cicero
USA! USA! USA! USA!
rafalski making us proud...
lets just hope this carries over to the 2nd half of the season.
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