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When Will The Streak End?

Training camp is almost upon us and the Detroit Red Wings have very few holes in their lineup heading into camp. The signings of Mike Modano and Ruslan Salei, coupled with the return of Jiri Hudler have solidified the Red Wings into bona-fide Stanley Cup contenders for the upcoming season.

The 2010-11 version of the Red Wings is one of the deepest teams Detroit has fielded in recent years, possibly even deeper than the 2008 Cup team. The Red Wings should have no trouble making a 20th straight playoff appearance. But at this point, one has to wonder: when will it all come to an end?

It's not a question of "if" the streak will end. No team in the history of sports has been able to remain so dominant that they never miss the playoffs. Even the New York Yankees lose occasionally. 

The biggest key to Detroit's success over the past 19 years has been the level of commitment it gets from its players. Players don't come to Detroit for a one-and-done year too often. They come to win many, many times.

Star-divide

Of the current roster, Nicklas Lidstrom, Kris Draper, Tomas Holmstrom and Chris Osgood still remain from the first team that won the 1997 Stanley Cup, which was a distant 13 years ago (although Osgood left briefly and missed the 2002 win). Henrik Zetterberg and Pavel Datsyuk missed the first two Cup wins, but both have been with the organization since the late 90s. Before that, Steve Yzerman, Brendan Shanahan, Sergei Fedorov, Igor Larionov and countless others contributed to multiple championships for Detroit.

In the salary cap era, however, it's become much harder to keep a championship roster together. Just ask the Chicago Blackhawks, who've had to gut their second through fourth lines to fit under the cap this season. The Wings have been able to master the cap, getting players to take less money overall to soften their cap hit, allowing them to stay with the organization longer.

But the Red Wings, even with Ken Holland running the show, can't fight Father Time forever. 

The biggest knock against Detroit for about 15 years has been that they are too old to continue winning. Their response? Keep winning. A lot. But as we enter a new decade, the Red Wings are graying at a rate that even they won't be able to just brush aside like they have in the past.

As mentioned before, four players still remain from the original 1997 Cup team. All four are expected to retire in the next 2-3 years, the first of which will likely be the 40-year-old captain Lidstrom. He recently re-signed for a one year deal after pondering retirement. Even though he's still one of the best in the game and can probably play for at least two more years at an elite level, he can't play forever.

Draper and Osgood are both on expiring contracts and are nearing the end of their careers. Holmstrom just signed up for two more seasons, but with the nightly beating he takes they could very well be his last two.

In addition, Brian Rafalski, Todd Bertuzzi, and Mike Modano are all 35 or older and not getting any younger. Soon they will all be gone. 

As the veterans start to disappear, younger players will have to take their place. Detroit has molded a solid leadership core to take the reigns, with Zetterberg ready to take Lidstrom's captaincy. Datsyuk and Johan Franzen are also set to be with the team for the forseeable future.

Darren Helm and Justin Abdelkader are promising young stars in the organization, but they'll need more help. Jimmy Howard emerged as the number one goalie last year, but he's only got a full year of NHL seasoning under his belt. Jonathan Ericsson looked promising in his first season, but he's regressed almost to the point of being useless to the team. Having Salei as his defensive partner will help, but there's no telling if he'll progress enough to take over a bigger role. 

Mattias Ritola has to make the team this year or else he'll likely be plucked off the waiver wire. But if Ritola makes the team someone else will have to go. Early indications are the Red Wings would sacrifice Drew Miller, even though he's only 27 and was a big part of the team when the Red Wings were beset with injury issues last season.

In the end, it will all come back to commitment. Ken Holland has a knack for convincing guys that Detroit is the place to win. Can Detroit stay successful? You bet, they've been proving people wrong for the past decade. 

At some point, the good times will end. Hopefully, it's just not anytime soon. 



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I think the Wings have good drafting and developing depth coming up too. Tatar should be with the big club in the next couple of years and I think he could very well be the next Valtteri Filppula right about the time that we need Filppula to step up and take over some of the load from the aging Pavel Datsyuk. Brendan Smith is just one of the young promising defensive prospects in the system. We’re probably never going to truly replace Lidstrom, but I think Kronwall is ready right now to take over top line duties if he needs to.

I think where the club is, even when we have to go into a relative “rebuilding” mode, we’ll still be a tough playoff team to beat that can surprise guys.

by J.J. from Kansas on Aug 19, 2010 3:34 PM CDT reply actions  

Like J.J. said, we may never replace Lidstrom, but Smith/Kindl could end up being sort of like Rafalski in a couple of years.

But on the offensive side, who’s going to take the place of Zetterberg/Franzen/Datsyuk/Holmstrom when they retire? I don’t think Filppula is ever going to be another Datsyuk, even though he could still shape up to be a very good 1st or 2nd line player? Helm? I don’t think so? Abdelkader? I don’t think so.

So . . . at some point, we’re going to have begin filling this gaps from the prospect pool.

by snailderby on Aug 19, 2010 4:44 PM CDT reply actions  

also keep in mind that when zetterberg and datsyuk do need to be replaced when they retire that leaves nearly 13 million in cap space plus there will still be many drafts from then ( not to mention the development of players in recent drafts) i wont be worried until they are gone and no one is there to take they’re place. until then im not going to worry.

by FFmorgan89 on Aug 20, 2010 3:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

Why are you talking about Zetterberg/Franzen/Datsyuk retiring??

Datsyuk and Franzen have 8 years yet until 40. Zetterberg has like 12 years. I think it’s a little too soon to be talking about them. We all wondered what the Wings would do when Yzerman, Shanahan, and Fedorov were gone. Well that worked out. Thing is, with the cap… there is usually the ability to have two “superstars” on the roster. Most teams have at least 2 players making more than $6 million. Chances are, if they don’t draft new blood… they’ll go out and sign it.

by dewman8810 on Aug 20, 2010 9:03 AM CDT up reply actions  

Replace Lidstrom - cmon pick an easier one will ya?

I agree that Z is the “captain in waiting”, but I have no clue how in the world we replace the 3rd best defenseman to EVER play the game (Orr, Doug Harvey if you have to ask). I guess we could ask Montreal – “Where is Larry Robinson from anyway?” or Bos…well, never mind, they’re still trying to find someone to replace Orr (how many Cups since he left Beantowners?).

I do like Brendan Smith – I don’t think Kronwall will ever “always make the smart play” like Nicky does, Kindl could help and we’ve got a number of D prospects in the system too, but wow…

Can we go back to 1989 and repeat that draft?

Smitty

by Kendal on Aug 19, 2010 5:57 PM CDT reply actions  

Is Nick's oldest son a defenseman?

From what I remember, he’s about 16 and will be playing hockey this year in Sweden. Can we maybe have right of first refusal on his draft rights? Got to be some good genes there.

by zfan16 on Aug 19, 2010 10:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

There’s no question this team is going to look drastically different in about 5 years. The question is not whether the top stars are going to develop into top contributors; I wonder whether there are any late-picks in the WIngs’ system now that could turn into great players like Datsyuk and Zetterberg. Personally, I don’t think we are even aware of some of the players that are going to be playing on the 1st and 2nd scoring lines. Filppula could get there, but he needs to show some consistency. A kid to keep your eye on is Cory Emmerton; he’s supposed to be showing some good promise in GR.

On defense, there’s no way on this or any other planet that you replace Lidstrom. His retirement will leave a gaping hole on the blue line. What the Wings will need is someone to step up as the anchor; it could be Kronwall, but my money is on Smith at some point being that guy. He certainly has the confidence, and if his skills translate well into the pro game, he’s going to do well.

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by Amerinadian on Aug 19, 2010 8:14 PM CDT reply actions  

who was they guy that detroit drafted last overall in the 2008 draft? he had a lot of hype coming in for a last overall pick just cant think of his name.

by FFmorgan89 on Aug 20, 2010 3:55 AM CDT reply actions  

Only one of those aging Wings is irreplaceable

Nick Lidstrom. Draper is not needed anymore. I’d really hate to see the Wings lose Drew Miller or Mattias Ritola just to keep Draper for the last year of his contract. Otherwise, the Wings have the pieces to fit in when players like Bertuzzi, Holmstrom, and Modano are done. Homer will be tough to replace, but it’s doable. Also, with Rafalski gone, that would free up a good bit of change to sign someone else.

by dewman8810 on Aug 20, 2010 9:00 AM CDT reply actions  

the streek will end when ken holland retires and not before

by micdebruyn on Aug 23, 2010 8:58 PM CDT reply actions  

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