Looking Ahead: 5 Burning Questions
The All-Star Game is now a distant memory, and Tuesday marks the second half of the Red Wings' march to their 12th Stanley Cup.
The first half was an interesting one, but the Wings have positioned themselves well to earn a top playoff seed in April. At the break, they sit in first place both in the Central Division and the Western Conference, but the competition for both is very fierce.
The Central Division has been an absolute force to date, dominating competition throughout the league. The top 4 teams in the Central all have at least 64 points, something only 3 other teams have accomplished so far. Should the Wings survive and win the division, they will have to battle with Vancouver and San Jose for the Western Conference title and home ice advantage throughout the playoffs.
The Wings certainly are very capable of earning both the division and conference crowns. How can they do it? What will we be looking for in the second half? Follow the jump for 5 of the most important questions facing the Wings.
1. Can Jimmy Howard maintain his first half play?
To me, there's absolutely no question that Jimmy Howard was the MVP of the first half for the Red Wings. Check out his stat line, with his NHL rank in brackets: 30 wins (1st), .924 SV% (9th), 2.03 GAA (5th), 5 SO (2nd), 2,478 minutes (8th). That last one is important because Jimmy has played in 42 of the Wings' first 50 games, a very heavy workload for the man expected to be fresh for the playoffs. Howard has been arguably the Wings' most consistent player this season, only being pulled twice and only allowing 4 goals in 6 games so far. The team defense has been better in front of him, which has certainly helped, but you can see in his play that he's much more comfortable in the crease while being aggressive when he needs to be. It's resulted in his putting up numbers that are very close to what he did in his rookie season, lending credence to the theory that last year was the fluke, not this one. For the Wings to continue to succeed in the second half, they need Jimmy to remain at the level he's playing at now.
2. What does Pavel Datsyuk have in store for us?
If Jimmy has been the team's MVP in the first half, Pavel may very well take the second half honour. To say that his start was slow (by his standards) is a bit of an understatement; in the first 17 games of the season, he only had 2 goals and 9 assists, terrible numbers for a player of his caliber. Why did I pick 17 games? Because game 17 was the game where Mike Babcock called out the team and asked whether they wanted to be a good team or not. It's also the day after Pavel himself described his play as "awful" and said he needed to be "more dangerous". Talk about being true to his word. In the following 32 games, he has scored 12 goals and added 30 assists. His 39 assists and 53 points are both good for 3rd in the NHL at the break. More importantly, his defensive skills haven't suffered as a result; he's 2nd in the NHL with 66 takeaways, and he's 2nd among all centers who have taken at least 800 faceoffs in FOW%. There's absolutely no question that up front, he's the leader of this team, and if he keeps up his pace from the last 32 games, he should be in the Hart Trophy conversation.
3. Can the Red Wings take advantage of their schedule?
The Red Wings are the NHL's best home team. Don't bother to look up stats or records or anything; the best home team is the one that has won 17 straight in their own building. They are 20-2-1 at the break, and to put things in perspective, here's how that stacks up against the rest of the NHL: the next closest team, the Blues, have lost 3 games in regulation at home; the Wings have lost 3 total; the Wings' 20 wins is 2nd to the Blues, who have played 5 more home games; the Wings have won 17 games at home during their current streak; only the Blues, Blackhawks and Flyers have won that many at home all season. The first half of the Wings' schedule was more road-heavy, and the Wings will start the second half in Western Canada. However, once that road trip is over, the Wings will play 18 of their final 28 games at home. We'll have more on this in a bit, but of the 4 teams in the West, the Wings have a schedule that is both very manageable in terms of opponents and have far more games at home, where they are a much better team than when they are on the road. Having gotten through the tough part of their schedule, the Wings should be able to pull away from the division by winning their home games.
4. What will Johan Franzen do?
When we think of the more consistent players on the Red Wings, the name "Johan Franzen" doesn't readily spring to mind. The Mule's struggles with being able to put the puck in the net on a consistent basis are well known. One need only look back to last year; after potting 5 goals against the Senators, he proceeded to go 14 games without a goal.
This year, Franzen has been better (by his standards), with his longest goal-scoring drought at 8 games. He currently has 19 goals, which would put him on pace for 31 on the season, 3 off of his career high. However, despite his documented struggles, he could also easily go on a tear where he's scoring at a goal-per-pace. Will Franzen go crazy and start scoring in bunches, or is he going to go as cold as a home game in Winnipeg?
5. What's going to happen at the trade deadline?
We've all heard the rumors; the Wings are in the running to land one or more of the following players: Shea Weber, Ryan Suter, Zach Parise, a 1989 version of Steve Yzerman, and that superstar player that you made in NHL12. While many of those players are pipe dreams, the Wings have cap space to make a move if they want this year at the trade deadline. Unlike in years past, when the Wings would get an injured player back as their "acquisition", the Wings have the ability to go out and add players that they feel will help the team.
There's no question that the Wings could use a top-6 forward, but there are people who feel that the Wings just need to make a few tweaks and add a little depth. Names like Ales Hemsky, Tuomo Ruutu and Travis Moen are being thrown around, and for me, I'm not sure that I'll be surprised no matter what happens.
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Pavel's production
Correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t it pick up drastically right after Babbles put Bert on the line with him? Early in the season, Pav was getting 2 on 1 and being muscled around more than not, and that is why his production was lacking. With Bert on the ice, it give a physical presence which allows Pav more free space. Just my observation.
The answer to all of these questions is "yes"
even the three which aren’t yes/no
I think Franzen is still the biggest question, but based on our talks about Jimmy and Pavel on the podcast, I believe they can keep it up. I do worry about injury with Pavs, but he’ll be fine.
by J.J. from Kansas on Jan 30, 2012 11:10 AM CST reply actions
My two cents on Pavel's season turnaround
If I’m not mistaken, his resurgence came during the Wings’ two games in SoCal with games against the Kings and the Ducks. If I’m not mistaken, that’s also where Rusty Salei’s family lives. Deep down in my gut, I have this feeling that Pavel was able to spend some time with them during that trip and was able to find the peace that he had been so sorely missing after that terrible plane crash took so many of his countrymen and friends. Since that time, he has been playing like a man possessed. Maybe he’s trying to “win one for Rusty”? Who can really be sure, but that’s what I’ve been thinking since his resurgence.
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That's a very good point
We all know that after the accident, Pavel was really affected and I think we speculated at the beginning of the season whether or not the grief would affect his play. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he did visit Rusty’s family.
by SlapshotGoal on Jan 30, 2012 11:27 AM CST up reply actions
Or....
Maybe he realized he needed to be more dangerous and play harder.
Maybe his wrist finally felt better.
Salei was in town for a year. McCrimmon was there a lot longer and played with Lidstrom when Nick first showed up. Who might have taken the crash harder?
A bit too much Freudian shit going on here.
Bingo! How fun! But, I digress. Where were we? HL
FYI
Tim Gleason just resigned to a four-year deal with Carolina. Probably not going to be moved, so everybody can take Gleason off the defenseman wish-list.
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I don't think Pavel's play is a question
He’s doing well and has a history of consistency. What’s in question is Zetterberg’s play which hasn’t been very good for him.
Is it time to trade Zetterberg while memories of his Conn Smythe trophy are still fresh? Maybe pick up a star winger like Hossa or Parise and move Filppula back to 2nd line center?
Listen to this week's podcast
We get in to this very topic.
Trading Zetterberg would be a HUGE mistake. Do you truly believe that Filppula can do all the things that Z can?
The Detroit Red Wings without Henrik Zetterberg are far inferior to the Detroit Red Wings with him.
by Amerinadian on Jan 30, 2012 11:53 AM CST up reply actions 9 recs
Beyond just the "no" there's a "you can't".
The contract. No one will pick it up who is able to return a balanced amount of talent back to Detroit. He’s nowhere near the terrible that Scott Gomez is to trade away for bacon bits like NYR did (how MTL’s GM has a job after that trade…), and his contract isn’t a boat anchor for Detroit like Campbell’s was to Chicago.
TL;DR: If we decided to trade Z, there isn’t a buyer who will pay properly.
Pierre McGuire is a blithering dimwit.
We could trade him for Jeff Carter!
Trade him for Ilya Kovalchuk!
Trade him for Drew Doughty!
You sound like a manure salesman with a mouthful of samples.
Nah we don't need a goalie
Otherwise it’d be all about Luongo
You sound like a manure salesman with a mouthful of samples.
Make Lou our backup!
Please. And then laugh. Point and laugh!
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
As much as I'd love...
…to have another Russian for Pavel to talk to, I’m not sure Bryz would fit the bill.
Pav: “What this crazy man talking for? Head hurts, maybe I learn Swedish instead”.
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
by Alexis L. on Jan 30, 2012 2:13 PM CST up reply actions 3 recs
Oh, I don't disagree
But he is straight-up crazy, too.
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
Breez thinks so
first, second, AND third best!
You wanna tell me that to mah face?!
Hahaha
In truth, apparently Datsyuk and Bryzgalov are pretty good friends in real life.
by J.J. from Kansas on Jan 30, 2012 2:17 PM CST up reply actions
Bryz proved that by voting for himself 3 times as much as he did for Dats
You sound like a manure salesman with a mouthful of samples.
3x0=0, 3+0 =3, 3/0= OH SHIT WHAT HAVE I DONE
You sound like a manure salesman with a mouthful of samples.
That's good, I'm glad
I get the impression he misses having one of his countrymen around. He & Malkin seemed to be having a great time at the ASG (and wouldn’t THAT pairing be something else in an actual game). Pittsburgh or not, he & Letang (only) get a pass from me for being awesome.
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
That's good, I'm glad
I get the impression he misses having one of his countrymen around. He & Malkin seemed to be having a great time at the ASG (and wouldn’t THAT pairing be something else in an actual game). Pittsburgh or not, he & Letang (only) get a walk from me for being awesome.
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
Two words
DAVID BACKES!
DAEVUHD BAKUHZ!
DEEVID BUKAZ!
"I'll smile in June."
by Lords of Olympia on Jan 30, 2012 4:05 PM CST up reply actions
I second that!
no way no how! not unless detroit gets a top line player, draft picks, cash, and high class hookers for everyone on the team.
"Blood washes off, brusies go away, bones do heal, scars indicate character, pain is only temporary, but victory will last FOREVER!"
Jiri has you covered on the latter point
The man has connections.
Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.
How dare you speak of trading the Zet!
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by Josh Howard on Jan 30, 2012 3:16 PM CST up reply actions 4 recs
I've been riding Z train all year
His play has not been bad, just not up to the goal scoring level we’re use to. I’ll stay on the train, for fear of twisting an ankle juping off and hope for more goal production all the way through the Stanley Cup finals.
I remember the Production Line and the Darkness
Trades
I just haven’t gotten the impression that Ken is poised to make a “big” move this season.
That said, Suter doesn’t look to be going anywhere until summertime, at the soonest.
If they could find something, I do kind of wish it were a way to deal with Ericsson’s contract. He has been noticeably better but his performance hasn’t been worth what they pay him.
"I'll smile in June."
by Lords of Olympia on Jan 30, 2012 12:12 PM CST reply actions
Franzen
Unfortunately, I think Franzen is always just going to be a pain in the ass.
He’s our pain in the ass.
He’s going to always epitomize the Wings’ propensity to be streaky. Their near-total lack of concern for the regular season. Their incomprehensible metrics for choosing franchise players.
"I'll smile in June."
by Lords of Olympia on Jan 30, 2012 12:20 PM CST up reply actions
Suter Not Resigning During Season
This can be taken a couple of ways… Weber and Suter both had said they were wanting to see if the Predators were “Committed To Winning”. They are winning right now, sure… But they don’t have the offensive punch needed to get past their annual 1st round exit (last year their first playoff series win). If Suter doesn’t resign, he will get traded, be it at the deadline, or after the season, with a sign and trade deal. (Philly seems to be blunt about their intentions of getting him) I see this guy play often living near Nashville, and he would be a great addition to our team with the uncertainty of Lidstroms future plans… Not holding my breath though…
Did anyone else catch the part of the ASG where Suter was talking about how nice it is “to be playing with Datsyuk instead of chasing him around all the time”?
I tried to tell him through my TV that he could have that 365 days a year, instead of just the ASG, but I’m not sure if he heard me.
by NMJ on Jan 30, 2012 3:43 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
ROTFLMAO!
yeah I heard that too…funny thing I said the exact same thing you said and trust me when I say this, he (Suter) didn’t hear a single thing I said!
"Blood washes off, brusies go away, bones do heal, scars indicate character, pain is only temporary, but victory will last FOREVER!"
Well thanks
Any word on when he’ll be back?
You sound like a manure salesman with a mouthful of samples.
Haha
It’s Monday.
In all seriousness, there hasn’t been an update on Eaves in quite some time. We’ll scour the internet for word and get back to everyone with what we know (which is probably very little).
Been a little bit of discussion...
It’s very possible and has been mentioned that he may have gotten a concussion as well as the jaw problem on that shot. Things I have heard are not good. Everything from not having skated in some time to having a hard time with weight trying to get back into playing shape. Most is speculation, but makes sense when you think about it. We were all expecting him to be back by mid January. Here we are… It’s darn near Feb. This is the lost year for Patty Eaves. Let me see what I can dig up that’s more official.
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As reported by Yahoo sports
RW Patrick Eaves (fractured jaw on Nov. 26) is out until late February.
It keeps getting pushed back. Hope he gets well soon. I’d like to see him on the 3rd line or higher again. He’s a scoring threat when he’s out there.
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Anyone think there is possibility that they would trade Eaves?
I really hope not I love the guy, I think hes one of our most under-rated players by far. I keep searching for updates but cant find anything keep us posted please!
Damn it! Is that goal regulation size or what?!? Geez!!
Ilya Kovalchuk
would not mind at all if the wings were to get this guy. give pavel someone to talk to and maybe he (Ilya) would find his scoring touch again since he would be on a good team rather then a shitty team. amazing thing is how much better guys play when they’re in a good system, on a good team, surrounded by good players, properly coached…just saying it’s amazing how guys can suddenly turn it around. small wonder why guys would come to detroit for less money….know what i mean?
"Blood washes off, brusies go away, bones do heal, scars indicate character, pain is only temporary, but victory will last FOREVER!"
No thanks
Ilya Kovalchuk is uncoachable. He does what he wants out on the ice. If things don’t go his way, instead of getting that fire in his belly do to better, he gets pissy, frustrated, mouths back and loses focus. I don’t care how much of a talent he is, and how much he could discuss with Datsyuk in Russian. He’s not a fit for us, ever.
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You need a different picture for that caption to work
Jgraham, how could you look at those cute mischievous puppy dog eyes and say something so sinister.
puppy dog eyes you say?

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by Josh Howard on Jan 31, 2012 1:55 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs

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