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Morning Skate: Is This The End?

Which Red Wings team is going to show up tonight?

I feel silly starting off with that questions, but I accepted Graham's challenge, so it is what it is. Truthfully though, regardless of which team shows up, the Wings are going to have their hands full with the Predators. There isn't much star power on the Nashville squad outside of Shea Weber, future Red Wing Ryan Suter, and Pekka Rinne, but the Preds have a system in place and work their asses off. Their 33-18-6 record is no accident.

The Preds are 6-2-2 in their last 10 games, but you know they're going to come into the Joe hungry and wanting to end the streak. We have to hope that this isn't a let down game for the Wings. They're going to be missing Henrik Zetterberg in addition to already missing Cleary and Howard. They already have the home win streak record. Let's hope they don't sit back because of what they've accomplished and use not having Hank as an excuse for playing poorly if things get rough early.

The bottom line is that there should be plenty of motivation for this game regardless of the streak. The Canucks and Blues are still right behind the Wings in the standings just waiting for their chance to knock the king off their throne. The Preds aren't too far behind either. If we're talking home ice advantage, why stop in the West? The Rangers are one point back with two games in hand. The reality is that the race for the playoffs is so close. The Wings need home ice advantage and the top seed. There is 24 games left in this season and each and every game is important. Every two points are huge. Don't fall asleep, Detroit. The playoffs will be here sooner than we think and you don't want to look back and think "what if" at lost opportunities.

Get the job done.

*

On the Forecheck is your SBNation Predators' blog.

Puck drop is just after 7:30p ET on Fox Sport Detroit Plus for the locals and NHL Network for the rest of us (which means no Center Ice or Game Center Live coverage).

Star-divide

The Expected Lineup

*

Johan Franzen -- Pavel Datsyuk -- Todd Bertuzzi

Valtteri Filppula -- Justin Abdelkader -- Jiri Hudler

Jan Mursak -- Darren Helm -- Drew Miller

Tomas Tatar -- Cory Emmerton -- Tomas Holmstrom

*

Nicklas Lidstrom -- Ian White

Niklas Kronwall -- Brad Stuart

Jonathan Ericsson -- Jakub Kindl

*

Joey MacDonald (starting)

Ty Conklin

Scratches: Mike Commodore

Injuries: Patrick Eaves (concussion), Jimmy Howard (finger), Danny Cleary (knee) and Henrik Zetterberg (lower body...I blame Emma)

PREDATORS HOW THEY MATCH UP RED WINGS
33-18-6 (72 pts; 5th in West) Record 39-17-2 (80 pts; 1st in NHL)
2.77 (11th in NHL) Goals Per Game 3.07 (4th in NHL)
2.58 (11th) Goals Against Per Game 2.33 (5th)
21.5% (2nd) Power Play % 17.8% (14th)
81.7% (16th) Penalty Kill % 81.3% (20th)
Two tied with 17 goals Goal Leader Johan Franzen (22 goals)
Martin Erat (42 points) Points Leader Pavel Datsyuk (57 points)

  • The Red Wings are 45-22-4-7 (W-L-T-OTL) all-time against the Nashville Predators franchise.
  • Nashville is a ridiculous 13-2-2 against teams from the Central Division.
  • Detroit is a perfect 11-for-11 on the penalty kill in their last three games. The Preds come to town with the 2nd best power play in the league. Tonight is a real challenge for Detroit's specialty teams. If the Wings can keep Nashville off the score sheet on the power play it could be a huge confidence booster for the PK moving forward.
  • Interesting stat from NHL.com's Brian Hedger, "Nashville is 21-10 when playing with one day's rest between games and just 5-10 when getting two days off between games, while the Red Wings are 13-17 with one day off and 6-4 when after a couple days of to recover."
  • Pekka Rinne is 9-4-3 with a 2.41 GAA, .929 SV% and 3 shutouts in his career against the Wings. Joey MacDonald is 0-3-0 with a 2.89 GAA and .898 SV% in 4 games against the Preds.

PLAYER STATISTICS DURING 21-GAME HOME WIN STREAK

GOALS ASSISTS POINTS
Datsyuk 6 20 26
Filppula 7 15 22
Franzen 11
10 21
Zetterberg 8 11 19
Lidstrom 6 11 17
Hudler 5 11 16
White 2 14 16
Kronwall 8 7 15
Bertuzzi 5 9 14
Cleary 2 8 10
Miller 5 5 10
Helm 4 5 9
Holmstrom 5 3 8
Stuart
2 5
7
Abdelkader 2
4 6
Kindl 1 4 5
Emmerton 3 1 4
Ericsson 1 3 4
Conner 1 1 2
Brunnstrom 0 1 1
Eaves 0 1 1

Prediction: I'd be lying if I said I wasn't nervous about this game. Nashville is good and they always play the Wings tough. It doesn't help that the Wings are down some key players. Not having Hank would hurt a lot more if the Wings were up against a more powerful offensive club. If the Wings can be strong on the PP and PK, they'll win this game. I'm going with a 3-2 Detroit win. Pavel Datsyuk is your player of the game.

Let's Go Red Wings.

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4-3 Detroit, Franzen POTG

Franzen wants to be fed. Feed the Mule. D looks good, but that PP scares me and our PK could be better. Here’s to hoping I’m guessing high and we only allow 1 or 2. Gotta put up a few on these preds.

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by Josh Howard on Feb 17, 2012 8:40 AM CST reply actions  

2-1 Detroit, Joey Mac as PotG

Not sure why I’m picking Joey as PotG, but it just felt right. Going to have to listen to the game via my computer since it’s been appropriated by the NHL Network and is blacked out on Center Ice.

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by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 8:46 AM CST reply actions  

D'oh

Here I thought I’d be the only one to pick that… Nope, 2nd comment.

by EthrDemon on Feb 17, 2012 4:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Interested to see how lines 2 and 3 play tonight...

Gator’s play on two and SAK’s on three could be the difference.

I think Bert is the POTG tonight

Goalies are enforcers too.
Twitter- @nkehagias

by AppState on Feb 17, 2012 9:09 AM CST reply actions  

FYI, one late development is that the Preds will be without Patric Hornqvist, who is tied with Mike Fisher for the team goal-scoring lead. He took a beating in front of the Boston net on Saturday.

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by Dirk Hoag on Feb 17, 2012 9:17 AM CST reply actions  

Thanks for the update.

I feel slightly better without Hornqvist in the lineup. He’s the kind of guy who just leans on defenders all game long. Not having him around the crease should help a bit.

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 10:00 AM CST up reply actions  

Typo?

“Red Wings are 13-17 with one day off…”

And I will be the wet blanket. The streak ends tonight, and becomes a 2 game skid after Sunday.

Pierre McGuire is a blithering dimwit.

by Brion on Feb 17, 2012 9:38 AM CST via Android app reply actions  

It has to be

That would give the Wings a record of 19-21 with 1 to 2 days off and they only have 19 losses on the season.

Pierre McGuire is a blithering dimwit.

by Brion on Feb 17, 2012 10:01 AM CST up reply actions  

Sucks hanks out

seems like he always plays pretty well vs the preds. Im going with 3-2 Wings, fil is your Potg.

by bond021 on Feb 17, 2012 9:41 AM CST reply actions  

2-1 Lids is the PotG

I think this game is going the be gritty, and Lids is going to step up and show us why he will win yet another Norris this year, over that Weber guy.

future Red Wing Ryan Suter

He really does want to play for us doesn’t he!

I'm a Homer

by holmstrom96 on Feb 17, 2012 9:44 AM CST reply actions  

Stats!
Nashville is a ridiculous 13-2-2 against teams from the Central Division.

Anybody want to guess where those two regulation losses came from?

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 10:00 AM CST reply actions  

Columbus!

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 10:05 AM CST up reply actions  

Expected Lineup

Khan does verify that Abdelkader will be playing center.

I thought it would be Holmstrom moving up from line 4 to take Abby’s place, but I kind of like the concept of Mursak up there.

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 10:08 AM CST reply actions  

I'm curious to see how the bottom two lines shake out

If Mursak does indeed get to play with Helm…holy hell the speed on that line.

Brendan Smith fan

by JeffHancock41 on Feb 17, 2012 10:13 AM CST up reply actions  

Lineup

I’m real excited about this lineup if the expected comes to fruition. Helm and Mursak will wreak havoc. Also I’m really hoping Tatar is as good as I am with him in Be a Pro in NHL 12.

by japobere on Feb 17, 2012 5:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Tatar

I have been excited about Tatar for 2 years now but the Wings have so many prospects they haven’t given him many shots with the Wings. I hope he can play well and earn himself a point or two tonight. Anyone know why they chose to bring him up instead of Nyquist?

by pzar11 on Feb 17, 2012 10:15 AM CST reply actions  

My guess and it's a shot in the dark

A chance to showcase him a little bit for potential trade scenarios.

Brendan Smith fan

by JeffHancock41 on Feb 17, 2012 10:20 AM CST up reply actions  

I also think that's why we've seen Kindl the last 4 games

instead of Commodore. Holland showing the talent he has as potential trade bait.

Brendan Smith fan

by JeffHancock41 on Feb 17, 2012 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

whatisthisidon'teven

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 10:26 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm sure Happy would have the straight story

On both of the above. “Rink skanks” are his speciality.

Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.

by Alexis L. on Feb 17, 2012 4:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Woooooooow

Looks like Babcock is switching Mursak and Holmstrom…

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 11:12 AM CST reply actions  

As pointed out by a commenter over at On the Forecheck

The Tennessean stated the following in and article posted today:

The Red Wings haven’t lost at home since Nov. 3, when they fell in overtime to Minnesota 4-1. That is their only loss at Joe Louis Arena this season. They are 24-1 there.

Holy shitballs, that is some bad reporting. A 4-1 overtime loss?

This is the same paper that called Datsyuk a defenseman back in October 2010 too

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 11:15 AM CST reply actions   1 recs

Wait

You mean to tell me Datsyuk isn’t a defenseman?

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 11:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, they just let him take faceoffs too

by EthrDemon on Feb 17, 2012 4:59 PM CST up reply actions  

nevermind the loss was to Calgary.

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twitter: @wizardofcorsica

by Wizard of Corsica on Feb 17, 2012 11:24 AM CST up reply actions  

and that their record is 24-2-1

and that it’s impossible to lose by three goals in overtime

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 11:27 AM CST up reply actions  

No I remember that overtime

The Flames scored, and then the Red Wings all left the ice, and the Flames put two more goals in after the net was empty and the NHL counted them.

Word is it’s the same scorer who gave Gagner those fraudulent 8 points.

by eight_legged_freaks on Feb 17, 2012 11:29 AM CST up reply actions  

. . . and that the very notion of a hockey team from south of the Mason-Dixon line is an affront to common sense. We should win this game by forfeit!

Failing that, superior skill and tactics will have to suffice. 4-2 good guys.

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twitter: @wizardofcorsica

by Wizard of Corsica on Feb 17, 2012 11:45 AM CST up reply actions  

3-1 Detroit, Abby

With getting bumped up to the 2nd line, I think Abby will relish* the promotion and seek to make the most of his opportunity. * not the kind of relish Murph eats on his hot dogs

by SlapshotGoal on Feb 17, 2012 11:22 AM CST reply actions  

At least he won’t have to try to “ketchup” to Hudler and won’t “dog” it.

Sorry, but it’s Friday and close to lunch time and I really don’t feel like working today.

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 11:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Hopefully he won't cut the mustard either? Sorry I couldn't resist.

I really don’t want to be at work either. A friend and I started shoveling off a little rink on the lake last night and I’m antsy to work on it more. I had dreams about hockey last night (again) and I’m really pumped for the game tonight. Hockey is pretty much the only thing on my brain right now, and I’m not even sorry about it.

by SlapshotGoal on Feb 17, 2012 11:41 AM CST up reply actions  

BOOOOOO

ALL OF YOU
JUST… BOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Goalies are enforcers too.
Twitter- @nkehagias

by AppState on Feb 17, 2012 2:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Canadian

BOUOUOUOUOUOUOUOUOUOUOUOUUOOOUUUOUOUUOOUUUOUUUUUU

You wanna tell me that to mah face?!

by uvgt2bkdnme on Feb 17, 2012 3:02 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

3-2 Red Wings

I’m sticking with Datsyuk. That steal and goal from a couple years ago just makes me smile every time i think about it. Wings win a close one tonight and keep the streak going.

"Need more shoot" Pavel Datsyuk

by Kendal on Feb 17, 2012 11:27 AM CST reply actions  

Curses

I put in the same thing.

Well, here’s hoping we’re right. ;)

Manager of the Mursak League's Banzai Bananas. BANZAI!!!

by Dannik99 on Feb 17, 2012 1:32 PM CST up reply actions  

ZETTERBERG UPDATE

Zetterberg a gametime decision

But Wings general manager Ken Holland confirmed in a text message that Zetterberg will take the pre-game skate and decide whether to play tonight. "Right now looks like he will play but final decision after warmup," Holland wrote.

Dancing Datsyuk Decidedly Dazzles Dainty Defensemen

by Robocop on Feb 17, 2012 12:18 PM CST reply actions  

I had a feeling that he might play tonight. Maybe Tatar is already unpopular in the Wings dressing room. It seems every time he is called up he ends up not playing last second. Joking…maybe.

by PavelsBabbles on Feb 17, 2012 12:26 PM CST up reply actions  

You are so right

Every time he gets called up, he sits lol. Obviously if Z can go we would all rather he play but Hockey Buzz was reporting that the 4th line was going to be all Grand Rapids Griffins which would have been sweet. They reported Babcocked had the line as Tatar, Emmerton, and Mursak

by pzar11 on Feb 17, 2012 12:40 PM CST up reply actions  

pzar11

If the “unpopular” and “pre-Madonna” stuff is true then they probably should trade him. Pretty sure that wouldn’t work in most NHL locker rooms.
PS – I definitely typed pre-Modano first

by pzar11 on Feb 17, 2012 1:43 PM CST up reply actions  

"pre-Madonna"

on second thought, that’s way funnier than “prima donna”

by shanny14 on Feb 17, 2012 2:07 PM CST up reply actions  

She’s been in the news so much lately I thought that was funnier

by pzar11 on Feb 17, 2012 2:42 PM CST up reply actions  

If my knees didn't hurt so much today

I’d do my happy dance. But I’d probably get a lot of strange looks (more than usual) from my co-workers.

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 12:30 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm too old to be a slutty looking girl

Anyhow, I’m doing my happy dance for the possibility of Z being back in the line-up; Tatar I can take or leave.

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 2:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Happy Dance?

Great, all I can picture now is Hudler doing some sort of crustacean shuffle dance. Make it stop!

by SlapshotGoal on Feb 17, 2012 2:33 PM CST up reply actions  

I was thinking more along the lines of Snoopy, with that great music playing in the background.

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 3:11 PM CST up reply actions  

hmm.

A Zoidler doing the Snoopy dance? Interesting.

by SlapshotGoal on Feb 17, 2012 4:32 PM CST up reply actions  

more like scuttle

woop woop woop

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by MuleRules on Feb 17, 2012 6:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Hal Gill traded to Nashville from Montreal

https://twitter.com/#!/SunGarrioch/status/170587066000871424

Wonder if he will suit up for tonight’s game?

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 1:20 PM CST reply actions  

Dang

I wouldn’t have minded him

by DanFromDetroit on Feb 17, 2012 1:21 PM CST up reply actions  

If he’s not a US citizen then I believe he will have to get a work visa before he can play, so maybe, maybe not.

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 1:22 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't have any idea how US/Canada work visas operate

but it’s possible he already has one, or still has one from when he last played for a US team.

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 1:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I imagine he is since he was in Pittsburgh just a couple years ago

But I don’t know the rules on those at all.

Pierre McGuire is a blithering dimwit.

by Brion on Feb 17, 2012 1:29 PM CST up reply actions  

He’s a US citizen (born in Concord, MA) so the visa thing is no problem.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hal_Gill

As long as he’s in Detroit before the roster deadline, he should be eligible to play unless I read that rule wrong.

"Lucky for me, unlucky for you" - Pavel Datsyuk, on why he wears No. 13

by Chozo on Feb 17, 2012 1:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, there you go. Unless there’s a hiccup somewhere, I’d bet he sees the ice tonight.

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 1:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Montreal is playing in Buffalo tonight

So, unless there’s some kind of delay and depending on the time of the roster deadline, he should be able to make it to Detroit.

Follow me on Twitter -- @zfan16

by zfan16 on Feb 17, 2012 1:55 PM CST up reply actions  

This one is hard to predict

I don’t see Joey Mac outplaying Rinne. But I don’t see the Preds outscoring the Wings either. Maybe 2-1 SO win for Wings.

by shanny14 on Feb 17, 2012 2:10 PM CST reply actions  

2-1 Wings

Not a trap game, but I think this one is going to be painful and slow to watch. I watch Big Ten basketball, so I know a thing or two about slow and painful.

Franzen accounts for Z’s absence and is your player of the game.

by Cptnshnr4 on Feb 17, 2012 3:01 PM CST reply actions  

5-2 Detroit, Helm

He finally channels his inner Datsyuk and finishes on a shorthanded breakaway

by NorthbayWingsFan on Feb 17, 2012 3:20 PM CST reply actions  

It's crazy to think even Eaves has a point during the streak

He hasn’t played in forever.

Fan of the Detroit Tigers, Lions and Red Wings.

by Elfuego51 on Feb 17, 2012 3:26 PM CST reply actions   2 recs

3-1 Wings, PotG Filppula.

Go Wings!!! and Go Blue!!! Forever!!!

by KGW on Feb 17, 2012 3:46 PM CST reply actions  

3-2 Wings, POG Datsyuk

Streak continues…with Dats dangling along.

by wingsluver4ever on Feb 17, 2012 4:27 PM CST reply actions  

3-2 Wings, Joey

He won’t outplay Rinne, but is PotG for that very reason. Hangs in there, busts his ass, and keeps us in the game against a team that’s no slouch. I’d like it to be Franzen, but I have concerns that now that history has been made, he won’t feel quite as motivated :(

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by Alexis L. on Feb 17, 2012 4:33 PM CST reply actions  

Or will he?

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by Josh Howard on Feb 17, 2012 4:44 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

It is true

You never know with The Franzen, he is inscrutable. He is a riddle, wrapped in an enigma, wrapped in a jersey.

Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.

by Alexis L. on Feb 17, 2012 5:24 PM CST up reply actions  

And as always....awesome.

I can’t wait for Jimmah to be back, and in part because your Tiberius posters are seriously righteous. And I imagine they strike fear in the hearts of our enemies, as well they should.

Relentlessly preaching the word of TPH and converting the heathens in the NHL wasteland that is Oregon.

by Alexis L. on Feb 17, 2012 5:29 PM CST up reply actions  

LET'S FUCKING GET IT BOYS!!!!!!!!!!! DON'T THE GRIND!!!

START HARD!!! SKATING HARD!! AND SHOOTING RUBBER ALL NIGHT!!!!!!!! LET’S GO RED WINGS!!!!!!! LET’S GO RED WINGS!!!!!!! WOOOOOOOOOFUCKINGWOOOOO!!!!!!!

by chicagowingsfreak! on Feb 17, 2012 4:51 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

Via Darren Dreger
Kubina Watch continues. Hearing offers from both Det and Philly have been made.

https://twitter.com/#!/DarrenDreger/status/170642887829225472

This makes me happy if only because I guessed correctly with that FanShot. :)

Winging It In Motown, Over the Monster, Liberty Ballers, and Buffalo Rumblings!

by Scott Kenny on Feb 17, 2012 5:02 PM CST reply actions  

I'd be cool with Kubina

Based on recent deals, have to imagine the offer is a 2nd rounder and a prospect or something similar.

Brendan Smith fan

by JeffHancock41 on Feb 17, 2012 5:05 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't know if I like this

Unless we have a defenseman going the opposite direction. We already have 7 defensemen in the rotation and if needs be we have Smith who has shown he can at least fill in some solid 3rd pairing minutes right now.

So unless we send a D-man the other way whats the point except to say thanks Kindle/commodore but screw you

by Splints on Feb 17, 2012 5:11 PM CST up reply actions  

The point is you upgrade your depth.

Kubina right now is better than Commodore and probably Kindl. He’s got experience too (won a Cup in 2004). You can never ever have too much defensive depth especially come playoff time. If they acquire Kubina and don’t send a defenseman on the roster back, you waive Commodore. At the same time, if someone like Emmerton or Mursak is in the deal. You can carry 8 defenseman and one less forward.

Brendan Smith fan

by JeffHancock41 on Feb 17, 2012 5:25 PM CST up reply actions  

Don’t we already have a Pavel that wears #13?

by EthrDemon on Feb 17, 2012 6:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Not sure I want us to get Kubina

I mean, is he really such an upgrade over Commie or Kindl to warrant giving prospects or picks for a 6/7 D man?

Goalies are enforcers too.
Twitter- @nkehagias

by AppState on Feb 17, 2012 5:27 PM CST reply actions  

He probably is

you just waive Commie and see if he’d rather go help out in Grand Rapids (with the blessing of the organization) or if they want to try to put him on recall waivers and offer him up at half-price.

Commodore has been good enough this season that he very well could get a contract somewhere else as long as he doesn’t lose his shit over being bumped down the depth chart by Kubina.

by J.J. from Kansas on Feb 17, 2012 5:42 PM CST up reply actions  

I think in a different system, Kubina could be a really valuable asset

Taking a glance at their defensemen and their point totals this season, it’s really abysmal all around. Prior to going to Tampa and the 1-3-1 system, he was a 40 point defenseman pretty regularly.

While he’s two years removed from those totals now, I do think he’s a definitie upgrade, for sure over at the very least Commodore, but most probably also Kindl.

by eight_legged_freaks on Feb 17, 2012 5:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Late prediction, but 4-3 Wings

Pavel is the Man.

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by MuleRules on Feb 17, 2012 6:11 PM CST reply actions  

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