Good evening, "ladies" and gentlemen, from the 110 degree Hell that is North Carolina.
In case anyone out there hasn't heard, the Red Wings are in need of at least one more defenSeman, and preferably a #1 type guy. From the get go, options were thin, with only one guy with #1 potential on the market. We all know how that ended, Ryan Suter wasn't ready to jump into that spotlight, when he could go play in front of the diehard fans in Minnesotta who just remembered hockey is a thing.
Some advocate the signing of a band-aid type guy like Roszival, Coliacavo, or Kubina. I wouldn't be surprised to see Cam Barker get a second chance in the D. Others want a trade for Calgary Flames defenseman Jay Bouwmeester.(B-OVERPAID-meester, amirite?)
And then there's the guy a lot of people have predicted since before the draft, Keith Yandle. I've spent the last little while googling around for information, and I thought we could try to figure out what it might take to get him.
Now, Yandle is only 25 years old, tallied 43 regular season points and averaged over 24 minutes per without missing a single game. He added 9 more points in 18 playoff games. He's got four years left with a cap hit of $5.25 million. He's averaged 51 points over the last 3 seasons.
So, after getting to a real computer, I decided to look at the comparable cap hits on Cap Geek, the points they've averaged over the last three years, and their 2011-2012 Relative Corsi rating.(For those of you who don't know, Relative Corsi is a simplified way to look at the impact a player has on his team's possession abilities based on shots on/against versus when they aren't on the ice. So a player with a Corsi REL of +2's team will put two more pucks on net per 60 minutes TOI than when he is on the bench) Thanks to www.behindthenet.ca for the Corsi REL stats.
- Keith Yandle - $5,250,000 - 51 points - 8.1 Rel.Corsi
- Dennis Wideman- $5,250,000 - ~38 points- 2.5 Rel. Corsi
- Dustin Byfuglien- $5,200,000 - 46.7 points - 13.1 Rel. Corsi*
- Matt Carle- $5,500,000 - 37.7 points - 3.2 Rel. Corsi
- Tyler Myers - $5,500,000 - 36 points - (negative) -7.1 Relative Corsi
This puts Keith Yandle at 11th among ALL defensemen who played at least 70 games last season, which is very impressive.(Lidstrom was 9th)
*Byfuglien only played 66 games, so he was probably due SOME regression, though the Jets still had impressive puck possession while he was on the ice.
None of them have been involved in any trade of worth, though Wideman has been moved twice in meaningless trades.
The question is, what will it take to get him?
From a Yahoo! article before the draft;
"We just listened. But all you have to do is look at our system and see the great young defensemen we have coming. If someone offers you some good young forwards, you have to listen."...
Maloney said it would take an offer that he couldn't refuse for him to move Yandle. ...
"It would take something very special. I've told his agents, 'If we ever do a deal with Keith Yandle, we're going to tell you and you're going to say 'I get that,''" he said.
Phoenix currently has 12 forwards on the pro roster, plus the potential of Shane Doan returning, with only one forward on a two year deal. The spot they are thinnest at is RW.
Lets assume then, that they can only take 3 forwards back. Let's also assume that Filppula is an unlikely trade piece, both for his limited contract, and the organization's belief in him him.
Thats three, promising young forwards, without including Filppula.
I think the BEST we could hope for, would be something like Emmerton, Tatar, Mursak, Joey Mac and a first. I wouldn't be surprised to hear Phoenix wanted Tatar, Jurco, Emmerton and a pick.
So, the real question is, what would you give up for Keith Yandle?