clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

Remaining Schedule Breakdown

Let me preface this post by saying this is no way meant to be an actual prediction, mainly for kicks and giggles and a way of looking at the percentages for each team based on home and away records.

The way I added them up is this. Negative points for opponent's total point percentage and home/away point percentage added up to the Detroit total point percentage and home/away point percentage. Point percentage, as I've used is basically how many games a team has earned points in.

Date Team Opp point percentage Opp Home Pt % Opp Away Pt % Detroit point percentage Detroit Home Pt % Detroit Away Pt % Total Prediction Outcome
3/13   BUF -0.6923
-0.6 0.6567 0.6969
0.0613    W
3/15   at CLG -0.6418 -0.5714
0.6567
0.6176 0.0611    W
3/19   at EDM -0.4179 -0.4857
0.6567
0.6176 0.3707    W
3/20   at VAN -0.6567 -0.7742
0.6567
0.6176 -0.1566    L
3/22
  PITT -0.6716
-0.6363 0.6567 0.6969
0.0457    T
3/24   STL -0.606
-0.69697 0.6567 0.6969
0.05063    W
3/26   MINN -0.5606
-0.3939 0.6567 0.6969
0.3991    T
3/27   at NSH -0.6119 -0.625
0.6567
0.6176 0.0374    T
3/30   EDM -0.4179
-0.3326 0.6567 0.6969
0.6031    W
4/1   CBJ -0.5588
-0.4286 0.6567 0.6969
0.3662    W
4/3   NSH -0.6119
-0.6 0.6567 0.6969
0.1417    W
4/4   at PHI -0.5909 -0.6471
0.6567
0.6176 0.0363    T
4/7   CBJ -0.5588
-0.4286 0.6567 0.6969
0.3662    W
4/9   at CBJ -0.5588 -0.6969
0.6567
0.6176 0.0186    L
4/11   at CHI -0.7424 -0.8
0.6567
0.6176 -0.2681    L

The way a game is decided between win or loss is like this. Win is anything above .05 (or 5%). Ties for anything below 5% but above 2%. Negative points automatically make it a loss. Not an exact science by any means, and its not intended to be. Just a way to look at the schedule and predict based off of records thus far.

Final total: 7-3-5 (19 points) Yeah, the 5 is kind of unlikely in terms of that many ties. Just games I had trouble deciding one way or the other based on the points and previous games this year.

Final record: 39-26-17 (95 points)

The 95 points would put the Wings in the playoffs by way of James Mirtle's numbers.

How do you all think the Wings will end the season?