With the start of free agency right around the corner, I thought that general manager Ken Holland would want a handy-dandy reference sheet to guide his decision-making.
Reference Sheet Rules:
The separation of players into different categories is based on the following:
- Reported asking price by player compared to estimated value by Matt Cane's free-agent model
- Performance Tier Probabilities from Domenic Galamini's HERO Charts available at ownthepuck.blogspot.ca
- Positional need for the Red Wings
- Hypothesis as to what it would take to trade for a player
- Do ittttttt - Players in this category are absolute MUST signs as their performance will significantly exceed the contract value they receive
- Not the worst idea - You'll clench your teeth, and this deal may ultimately come back to bite you, but it is not the ABSOLUTE worst thing in the world
- Ok, that's probably a bad idea - You'll clench your teeth, wind up to punch a wall, but stop just short. You'll get through it, but it won't be pretty.
- Ok, that's DEFINITELY a bad idea - You'll punch through a wall and throw your lamp out the window. Your cries of anguish will alert those around you of your feelings
- For the love of God, are you stupid? - There are no words. Some people just want to watch the world burn.
- Potentially Low-Risk Depth Signings - If Plan B and C does come around, these are guys who might be cost-effective signings and can play 2nd/3rd line minutes.
|Do ittttttt||Not the worst idea||Ok, that's probably a bad idea||Ok, that's DEFINITELY a bad idea||For the love of God, are you stupid?||Potentially Low-Risk Depth Signings|
|Milan Lucic (UFA)||Eric Staal (UFA)||David Backes (UFA)||Matt Martin (UFA)||Brandon Pirri (UFA)|
|Mattias Ekholm (Trade)||Brian Campbell (UFA)||Thomas Vanek (UFA)||Jared Cowen (UFA)||Teddy Purcell (UFA)|
|Loui Eriksson (UFA)||Darren Helm (UFA)||Andrew Ladd (UFA)||Nicklas Grossman (UFA)||Kris Versteeg (UFA)|
|Kyle Okposo (UFA)||Jamie McGinn (UFA)||David Perron (UFA)||Luke Schenn (UFA)||Sam Gagner (UFA)|
|Tyson Barrie (Trade)||Jacob Trouba (RFA)||Frans Nielsen (UFA)||Tuomo Ruutu (UFA)||Lee Stempniak (UFA)|
|Jacob Trouba (Trade)||Tyson Barrie (RFA)||Mikkel Boedker (UFA)||Willie Mitchell (UFA)||Brett Connolly (UFA)|
|Jason Demers (UFA)||Dan Hamhuis (UFA)||Troy Brouwer (UFA)||Dan Cleary (UFA)||Brad Boyes (UFA)|
|Ryan Ellis (Trade)||Jiri Hudler (UFA)||Dale Weise (UFA)||P.A. Parenteau (UFA)|
|Justin Schultz (UFA)||Brad Stuart (UFA)|
|Cam Fowler (Trade)||Fedor Tyutin (UFA)|
|Kyle Quincey (UFA)|
|John-Michael Liles (UFA)|
|Nikita Nikitin (UFA)|
|David Jones (UFA)|
|Ben Lovejoy (UFA)|