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Remaining Schedule Breakdown

Let me preface this post by saying this is no way meant to be an actual prediction, mainly for kicks and giggles and a way of looking at the percentages for each team based on home and away records.

The way I added them up is this. Negative points for opponent’s total point percentage and home/away point percentage added up to the Detroit total point percentage and home/away point percentage. Point percentage, as I’ve used is basically how many games a team has earned points in.

Date Team Opp point percentage Opp Home Pt % Opp Away Pt % Detroit point percentage Detroit Home Pt % Detroit Away Pt % Total Prediction Outcome
3/13 BUF -0.6923 -0.6 0.6567 0.6969 0.0613 W
3/15 at CLG -0.6418 -0.5714 0.6567 0.6176 0.0611 W
3/19 at EDM -0.4179 -0.4857 0.6567 0.6176 0.3707 W
3/20 at VAN -0.6567 -0.7742 0.6567 0.6176 -0.1566 L
3/22 PITT -0.6716 -0.6363 0.6567 0.6969 0.0457 T
3/24 STL -0.606 -0.69697 0.6567 0.6969 0.05063 W
3/26 MINN -0.5606 -0.3939 0.6567 0.6969 0.3991 T
3/27 at NSH -0.6119 -0.625 0.6567 0.6176 0.0374 T
3/30 EDM -0.4179 -0.3326 0.6567 0.6969 0.6031 W
4/1 CBJ -0.5588 -0.4286 0.6567 0.6969 0.3662 W
4/3 NSH -0.6119 -0.6 0.6567 0.6969 0.1417 W
4/4 at PHI -0.5909 -0.6471 0.6567 0.6176 0.0363 T
4/7 CBJ -0.5588 -0.4286 0.6567 0.6969 0.3662 W
4/9 at CBJ -0.5588 -0.6969 0.6567 0.6176 0.0186 L
4/11 at CHI -0.7424 -0.8 0.6567 0.6176 -0.2681 L

The way a game is decided between win or loss is like this. Win is anything above .05 (or 5%). Ties for anything below 5% but above 2%. Negative points automatically make it a loss. Not an exact science by any means, and its not intended to be. Just a way to look at the schedule and predict based off of records thus far.

Final total: 7-3-5 (19 points) Yeah, the 5 is kind of unlikely in terms of that many ties. Just games I had trouble deciding one way or the other based on the points and previous games this year.

Final record: 39-26-17 (95 points)

The 95 points would put the Wings in the playoffs by way of James Mirtle’s numbers.

How do you all think the Wings will end the season?

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